⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHI LHB
Bryson Stott

Bryson Stott

LHB
PHI · 49 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
10.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
5.6%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.096
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#48
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 5 HRs in 49 games
Due (1×)
5.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
10
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
49
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
20%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#140.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-18 #48 Nick Lodolo Citizens Bank Park L/L 🔥 103.3 mph 360.0 ft
All Appearances
49 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #66 Roki Sasaki L/R * 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 #90 Justin Wrobleski L/L * 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 #117 Walker Buehler L/R * 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #97 Randy Vásquez L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-25 #110 Griffin Canning L/R * 12.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #84 Parker Messick L/L * 11.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #68 Slade Cecconi L/R * 12.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #102 Gavin Williams L/R * 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-20 #84 Andrew Abbott L/L * 12.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 #55 Chase Burns L/R * 19.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #48 Nick Lodolo L/L 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-05-17 #179 Paul Skenes L/R * 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-16 #109 Bubba Chandler L/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 #160 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 #213 Sonny Gray L/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #82 Tomoyuki Sugano L/R * 13.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #150 Kyle Freeland L/L 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #137 Chase Dollander L/R * 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #98 J.T. Ginn L/R * 14.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-06 #153 Jeffrey Springs L/L * 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #182 Luis Severino L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-04 #171 Janson Junk L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 #219 Chris Paddack L/R * 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-02 #248 Max Meyer L/R * 5.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-01 #226 Eury Pérez L/R * 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-30 #167 Logan Webb L/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 #174 Logan Webb L/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 #119 Tyler Mahle L/R * 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #177 Bryce Elder L/R 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 #154 Grant Holmes L/R 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 #99 Edward Cabrera L/R 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #197 Matthew Boyd L/L 6.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-21 #208 Shota Imanaga L/L 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-20 #124 Colin Rea L/R 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-19 #127 Grant Holmes L/R 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 #107 Chris Sale L/L 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #107 Martín Pérez L/L 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 #94 Riley Martin L/L 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 #89 Zac Gallen L/R 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #151 Brandon Pfaadt L/R 7.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-10 #198 Michael Soroka L/R 6.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-08 #235 Tyler Mahle L/R 3.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 #221 Robbie Ray L/L 4.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 #192 Adrian Houser L/R 4.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 #92 Tomoyuki Sugano L/R 12.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-04-01 #96 Cade Cavalli L/R 12.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #182 PJ Poulin L/L 8.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-03-28 #202 Jacob Latz · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 #131 Nathan Eovaldi · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·

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